Combat Edge Intelligence

Roberto Traven vs Ryo Sakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Sakai
jp

Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1491Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-1Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
227 lbsWeight246 lbs
Alliance TeamTeamRanger Gym

What's at stake

Roberto Traven is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ryo Sakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Roberto TravenNow 1506
If they win+15→ 1521
If they lose-17→ 1489
Ryo SakaiNow 1491
If they win+13→ 1504
If they lose-11→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.92
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Roberto TravenRyo Sakai
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
2 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (33%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Sakai66%
Roberto Traven 34%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 66% favorite over Roberto Traven in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roberto Traven's way (48%).

Roberto Traven holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1506 to 1491, a 15-point edge.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roberto Traven finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Sakai 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.