Combat Edge Intelligence

Rocky Lee vs Taylor Lapilus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rocky Lee
tw

Rocky Lee

4-6-0FeatherweightTaiwan BJJ Academy

1432Developing

Tale of the tape

4-6-0Record25-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReach73"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bali MMATeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

Taylor Lapilus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Rocky Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rocky LeeNow 1432
If they win+28→ 1460
If they lose-4→ 1428
Taylor LapilusNow 1755
If they win+4→ 1759
If they lose-28→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.47
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
51%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
44%
Strike defense
63%
1
Takedown avg.
0.27
10%
Takedown accuracy
33%
33%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Rocky LeeTaylor Lapilus
150016001700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
3 (75%)
Submission
6 (24%)
1 (25%)
Decision
14 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Lapilus92%
Rocky Lee 8%Elo baseline: 87%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 92% favorite over Rocky Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (87%).

Taylor Lapilus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1432, a 323-point edge.

Rocky Lee enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Rocky Lee finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.