Rodrigo Nascimento vs Szymon Bajor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record27-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80"Reach-
265 lbsWeight241 lbs
American Top TeamTeamUniversal Rzeszow
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rodrigo NascimentoSzymon Bajor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Szymon Bajor66%
Rodrigo Nascimento 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Szymon Bajor a 66% favorite over Rodrigo Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Nascimento's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.
Rodrigo Nascimento enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rodrigo Nascimento finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Szymon Bajor 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.