Rodrigo Nascimento vs Thomas Petersen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80"Reach74"
265 lbsWeight257 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSpartan MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rodrigo NascimentoThomas Petersen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rodrigo Nascimento58%
Thomas Petersen 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Nascimento a 58% favorite over Thomas Petersen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thomas Petersen's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1625), separated by just 4 points.
Rodrigo Nascimento enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rodrigo Nascimento finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 73%.
Rodrigo Nascimento and Thomas Petersen share 1 common opponent: Don'Tale Mayes.
Rodrigo Nascimento carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.