Combat Edge Intelligence

Rodrigo Sezinando vs Shimon Smotritsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'2"
71"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamMoshik Box

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rodrigo SezinandoNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Shimon SmotritskyNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.67
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.52
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rodrigo SezinandoShimon Smotritsky
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (14%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rodrigo Sezinando and Shimon Smotritsky within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Shimon Smotritsky enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Rodrigo Sezinando finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Shimon Smotritsky 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.