Combat Edge Intelligence

Rodrigo Sezinando vs Zach Scroggin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0 Record 7-1-0
Middleweight Division Middleweight
TBD Height 6'3"
71" Reach 74"
185 lbs Weight 183 lbs
Nova Uniao Team Marathon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rodrigo SezinandoNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Zach ScrogginNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
8.80
TBD
Strike defense
69%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rodrigo Sezinando Zach Scroggin
1500 1550 1600 1650 2022 2023 2024 2025

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rodrigo Sezinando and Zach Scroggin within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1623), separated by just 2 points.

Rodrigo Sezinando finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.

Zach Scroggin carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.