Combat Edge Intelligence

Rodrigo Vargas vs Rolando Bedoya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'11"
71"Reach74"
160 lbsWeight170 lbs
Mexican Pride GymTeamChute Boxe· 1678 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rodrigo VargasNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Rolando BedoyaNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
7.29
54%
Strike accuracy
49%
1.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
58%
Strike defense
53%
0.40
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
30%
Takedown defense
33%
0.40
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rodrigo VargasRolando Bedoya
1550160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
7 (44%)
Submission
3 (21%)
2 (13%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rolando Bedoya62%
Rodrigo Vargas 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rolando Bedoya a 62% favorite over Rodrigo Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Rodrigo Vargas enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Rolando Bedoya enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Rodrigo Vargas finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Bedoya 50%.

Rolando Bedoya carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.