Combat Edge Intelligence

Roger Gracie vs Scott Askham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach75,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Evolve MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roger GracieNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Scott AskhamNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
41%
Strike accuracy
46%
6.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
61%
Strike defense
52%
2
Takedown avg.
0.44
50%
Takedown accuracy
18%
60%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Roger GracieScott Askham
1650170020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
6 (75%)
Submission
2 (10%)
1 (13%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Roger Gracie57%
Scott Askham 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roger Gracie a 57% favorite over Scott Askham in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.

Roger Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Roger Gracie finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Scott Askham 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.