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Combat Edge Intelligence

Roger Hollett vs Ruslan Gabaraev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roger Hollett
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Roger Hollett

“The Hulk”

13-5-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1588Solid

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record7-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Titans MMATeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roger HollettNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Ruslan GabaraevNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.83
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
6.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
34%
Strike defense
Not available
1
Takedown avg.
Not available
29%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
30%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Roger HollettRuslan Gabaraev
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
7 (54%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (15%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Gabaraev66%
Roger Hollett 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Gabaraev a 66% favorite over Roger Hollett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1591), separated by just 3 points.

Roger Hollett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roger Hollett finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Gabaraev 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.