Roggers Souza vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
79"Reach-
265 lbsWeight240 lbs
What's at stake
Roggers Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sascha Weinpolter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1545
If they lose-17→ 1513
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Roggers SouzaSascha Weinpolter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter53%
Roggers Souza 47%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 53% favorite over Roggers Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roggers Souza's way (47%).
Roggers Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1530 to 1509, a 21-point edge.
Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Roggers Souza finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.