Combat Edge Intelligence

Roggers Souza vs Tebaris Gordon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record3-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Alcateia MMATeamGym O

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roggers SouzaNow 1530
If they win+16→ 1546
If they lose-16→ 1514
Tebaris GordonNow 1523
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.53
TBD
Strike accuracy
17%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
49.41
TBD
Strike defense
22%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Roggers SouzaTebaris Gordon
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (100%)
4 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Roggers Souza59%
Tebaris Gordon 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Roggers Souza a 59% favorite over Tebaris Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1523), separated by just 7 points.

Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tebaris Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roggers Souza finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tebaris Gordon 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.