Roggers Souza vs Tim Lajcik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record7-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight225 lbs
Alcateia MMATeamGladiators Training Academy
What's at stake
Roggers Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tim Lajcik carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1545
If they lose-17→ 1513
If they win+17→ 1526
If they lose-15→ 1494
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Roggers SouzaTim Lajcik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roggers Souza60%
Tim Lajcik 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Roggers Souza a 60% favorite over Tim Lajcik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Roggers Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1530 to 1509, a 21-point edge.
Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tim Lajcik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Roggers Souza finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tim Lajcik 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.