Roggers Souza vs Wes Sims
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record24-15-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'9"
79"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight258 lbs
Alcateia MMATeamHammer House
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1546
If they lose-16→ 1514
If they win+12→ 1539
If they lose-12→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Roggers SouzaWes Sims
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roggers Souza61%
Wes Sims 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roggers Souza a 61% favorite over Wes Sims in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1527), separated by just 3 points.
Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Roggers Souza finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Wes Sims 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.