Combat Edge Intelligence

Roland Dunlap vs Tim Caron

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Roland Dunlap
us

Roland Dunlap

“The Dream”

7-1-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1607Solid
Tim Caron
us

Tim Caron

“The Bear”

13-6-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record13-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
79"Reach42,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamBurgess MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roland DunlapNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Tim CaronNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.59
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.90
Not available
Strike defense
13%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Roland DunlapTim Caron
1600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (42%)
3 (43%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Caron55%
Roland Dunlap 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Caron a 55% favorite over Roland Dunlap in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Roland Dunlap finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tim Caron 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.