Rolles Gracie vs Tsuyoshi Sudario
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
249 lbsWeight261 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rolles GracieTsuyoshi Sudario
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tsuyoshi Sudario79%
Rolles Gracie 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tsuyoshi Sudario a 79% favorite over Rolles Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rolles Gracie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.
Rolles Gracie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rolles Gracie finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tsuyoshi Sudario 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.