Roman Puga vs Tom Niinimaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record22-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMAFCTeamFinnfighters' Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1649
If they lose-24→ 1601
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Roman PugaTom Niinimaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Puga84%
Tom Niinimaki 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Puga a 84% favorite over Tom Niinimaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tom Niinimaki's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.
Roman Puga enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Roman Puga finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tom Niinimaki 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.