Ron Keslar vs Shinji Sasaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record20-15-3
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBurst
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1529
If they lose-16→ 1497
If they win+16→ 1529
If they lose-16→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ron KeslarShinji Sasaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shinji Sasaki62%
Ron Keslar 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shinji Sasaki a 62% favorite over Ron Keslar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ron Keslar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1513 vs 1513), separated by just 0 points.
Ron Keslar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Shinji Sasaki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ron Keslar finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Shinji Sasaki 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.