AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Ron Keslar vs Tato Primera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Tato Primera
es

Tato Primera

“El Espectaculo”

18-14-0WelterweightFNC

1516Average

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record18-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTaz Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ron KeslarNow 1513
If they win+16→ 1529
If they lose-16→ 1497
Tato PrimeraNow 1516
If they win+12→ 1528
If they lose-12→ 1504

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
0%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
60%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
7.69
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ron KeslarTato Primera
1500155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
5 (45%)
Submission
3 (17%)
5 (45%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Tato Primera53%
Ron Keslar 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tato Primera a 53% favorite over Ron Keslar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1513 vs 1516), separated by just 3 points.

Ron Keslar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Tato Primera enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ron Keslar finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tato Primera 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.