Ron Waterman vs Satoshi Honma
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-2Record4-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
260 lbsWeight204 lbs
Colorado StarsTeam
What's at stake
Ron Waterman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Satoshi Honma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1647
If they lose-22→ 1615
If they win+33→ 1526
If they lose-15→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ron WatermanSatoshi Honma
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ron Waterman72%
Satoshi Honma 28%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Ron Waterman a 72% favorite over Satoshi Honma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Ron Waterman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1493, a 144-point edge.
Ron Waterman finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Satoshi Honma 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.