Ron Waterman vs Tim Lajcik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-2Record7-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
260 lbsWeight225 lbs
Colorado StarsTeamGladiators Training Academy
What's at stake
Ron Waterman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tim Lajcik carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1647
If they lose-22→ 1615
If they win+22→ 1531
If they lose-10→ 1499
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ron WatermanTim Lajcik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ron Waterman62%
Tim Lajcik 38%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Ron Waterman a 62% favorite over Tim Lajcik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Ron Waterman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1509, a 128-point edge.
Tim Lajcik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ron Waterman finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Tim Lajcik 86%.
Ron Waterman and Tim Lajcik share 1 common opponent: Tsuyoshi Kosaka.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.