Ronald Humphrey vs Tracy Reeder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
77"Reach73.5"
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ronald HumphreyTracy Reeder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ronald Humphrey and Tracy Reeder within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.
Ronald Humphrey enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Tracy Reeder enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ronald Humphrey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Reeder 92%.
Ronald Humphrey carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.