Combat Edge Intelligence

Ronaldo Oliveira vs Šimon Bruknar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-1Record5-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'4"
-Reach-
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Carrasco TeamTeamGauner Club Jihlava

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ronaldo OliveiraNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Šimon BruknarNow 1567
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ronaldo OliveiraŠimon Bruknar
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
8 (73%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (9%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Šimon Bruknar63%
Ronaldo Oliveira 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Šimon Bruknar a 63% favorite over Ronaldo Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1567), separated by just 2 points.

Ronaldo Oliveira finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Šimon Bruknar 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.