Ronaldo Souza vs Vitor Belfort
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record26-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
72"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fusion X-Cel PerformanceTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Ronaldo Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Vitor Belfort carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1760
If they lose-13→ 1736
If they win+13→ 1732
If they lose-11→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ronaldo SouzaVitor Belfort
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronaldo Souza64%
Vitor Belfort 36%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronaldo Souza a 64% favorite over Vitor Belfort in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Ronaldo Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1719, a 30-point edge.
Ronaldo Souza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ronaldo Souza finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Belfort 81%.
Ronaldo Souza and Vitor Belfort share 1 common opponent: Chris Weidman.
Vitor Belfort carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.