Ronaldo Souza vs Yoel Romero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'10"
72"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fusion X-Cel PerformanceTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Ronaldo Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Yoel Romero carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1760
If they lose-13→ 1736
If they win+17→ 1748
If they lose-15→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ronaldo SouzaYoel Romero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yoel Romero53%
Ronaldo Souza 47%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Yoel Romero a 53% favorite over Ronaldo Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ronaldo Souza's way (47%).
Ronaldo Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1731, a 18-point edge.
Ronaldo Souza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ronaldo Souza finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Yoel Romero 81%.
Ronaldo Souza and Yoel Romero share 1 common opponent: Robert Whittaker.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.