Combat Edge Intelligence

Ronaldo Souza vs Yushin Okami

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yushin Okami
jp

Yushin Okami

“Thunder”

37-15-0MiddleweightShooto

1667Good

Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record37-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
72"Reach41,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fusion X-Cel PerformanceTeamEXFIGHT

What's at stake

Ronaldo Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Yushin Okami carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ronaldo SouzaNow 1749
If they win+9→ 1758
If they lose-15→ 1734
Yushin OkamiNow 1667
If they win+15→ 1682
If they lose-9→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.53
Sig. strikes / min
2.06
47%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.25
62%
Strike defense
61%
2.57
Takedown avg.
1.98
39%
Takedown accuracy
39%
58%
Takedown defense
84%
1.34
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Ronaldo SouzaYushin Okami
165017001750180020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (31%)
KO/TKO
14 (39%)
14 (54%)
Submission
3 (8%)
4 (15%)
Decision
19 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronaldo Souza67%
Yushin Okami 33%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronaldo Souza a 67% favorite over Yushin Okami in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Ronaldo Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1667, a 82-point edge.

Ronaldo Souza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ronaldo Souza finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Yushin Okami 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.