Ronda Rousey vs Sara McMann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'5"
68"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team HayastanTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Ronda Rousey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sara McMann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1761
If they lose-22→ 1729
If they win+22→ 1636
If they lose-10→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ronda RouseySara McMann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronda Rousey73%
Sara McMann 27%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronda Rousey a 73% favorite over Sara McMann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Ronda Rousey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1614, a 137-point edge.
Ronda Rousey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.
Ronda Rousey and Sara McMann share 1 common opponent: Alexis Davis.
Ronda Rousey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.