Combat Edge Intelligence

Ronny Markes vs Yoel Romero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yoel Romero
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Yoel Romero

“Soldier of God”

16-7-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1731Good

Tale of the tape

23-10-0Record16-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
245 lbsWeight205 lbs
Nova Uniao RMTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Yoel Romero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ronny Markes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ronny MarkesNow 1579
If they win+17→ 1596
If they lose-7→ 1572
Yoel RomeroNow 1731
If they win+9→ 1740
If they lose-23→ 1708

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.17
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
53%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
46%
Strike defense
61%
3.13
Takedown avg.
1.57
40%
Takedown accuracy
30%
100%
Takedown defense
78%
0.52
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ronny MarkesYoel Romero
155016001650170017502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (39%)
KO/TKO
13 (81%)
7 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (30%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Yoel Romero78%
Ronny Markes 22%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Yoel Romero a 78% favorite over Ronny Markes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Yoel Romero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1579, a 152-point edge.

Ronny Markes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Yoel Romero 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.