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Combat Edge Intelligence

Rory Singer vs Sofian Bouafia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rory Singer
us

Rory Singer

“Outburst”

11-9-0MiddleweightMFC

1541Average

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record8-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight188 lbs
Hardcore GymTeamHEM Top Team Algeria

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rory SingerNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Sofian BouafiaNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.55
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
40%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
64%
Strike defense
Not available
0.39
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
65%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.79
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Rory SingerSofian Bouafia
155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
6 (55%)
Submission
2 (25%)
3 (27%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Rory Singer55%
Sofian Bouafia 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rory Singer a 55% favorite over Sofian Bouafia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1539), separated by just 2 points.

Rory Singer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rory Singer finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Sofian Bouafia 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.