Combat Edge Intelligence

Rosi Sexton vs Tainara Lisboa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rosi Sexton

Rosi Sexton

“The Surgeon”

13-5-0FlyweightCWFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record7-4-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
Next GenerationTeamDamas 013

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rosi SextonNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Tainara LisboaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
40%
Strike accuracy
43%
7.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.42
41%
Strike defense
49%
0.75
Takedown avg.
1.53
10%
Takedown accuracy
36%
80%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Rosi SextonTainara Lisboa
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
7 (54%)
Submission
3 (43%)
4 (31%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Tainara Lisboa56%
Rosi Sexton 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tainara Lisboa a 56% favorite over Rosi Sexton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rosi Sexton's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.

Rosi Sexton enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rosi Sexton finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.