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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ross Pearson vs Ryan Couture

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ross Pearson
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Ross Pearson

“The Real Deal”

20-17-0LightweightMTK

1573Solid

Tale of the tape

20-17-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Central Coast MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Ryan Couture is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ross PearsonNow 1573
If they win+14→ 1587
If they lose-10→ 1563
Ryan CoutureNow 1642
If they win+13→ 1655
If they lose-19→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.68
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
40%
Strike accuracy
32%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
14.02
62%
Strike defense
55%
0.74
Takedown avg.
0.63
36%
Takedown accuracy
8%
75%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ross PearsonRyan Couture
16001650201720182019

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
5 (25%)
Submission
6 (50%)
8 (40%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Ross Pearson63%
Ryan Couture 37%Elo baseline: 40%

The Combat Edge model makes Ross Pearson a 63% favorite over Ryan Couture in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Couture's way (40%).

Ryan Couture holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1573, a 69-point edge.

Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ross Pearson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Couture 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.