Ross Pearson vs Sam Stout
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-17-0Record20-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Central Coast MMATeamTeam Tompkins
What's at stake
Sam Stout is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1588
If they lose-11→ 1564
If they win+11→ 1604
If they lose-13→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ross PearsonSam Stout
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ross Pearson57%
Sam Stout 43%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Ross Pearson a 57% favorite over Sam Stout in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Stout's way (47%).
Sam Stout holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1575, a 18-point edge.
Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ross Pearson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.
Ross Pearson and Sam Stout share 1 common opponent: John Makdessi.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.