Combat Edge Intelligence

Ross Pearson vs Spencer Fisher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ross Pearson

Ross Pearson

“The Real Deal”

20-17-0LightweightMTK

1572Solid

Tale of the tape

20-17-0Record24-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Central Coast MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

Spencer Fisher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ross PearsonNow 1572
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-9→ 1563
Spencer FisherNow 1654
If they win+9→ 1663
If they lose-15→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.68
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
40%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.03
62%
Strike defense
64%
0.74
Takedown avg.
0.67
36%
Takedown accuracy
30%
75%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Ross PearsonSpencer Fisher
1600165017002010201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
5 (25%)
Submission
9 (38%)
8 (40%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Spencer Fisher60%
Ross Pearson 40%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Spencer Fisher a 60% favorite over Ross Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Spencer Fisher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1572, a 82-point edge.

Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Spencer Fisher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ross Pearson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Spencer Fisher 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.