Combat Edge Intelligence

Ross Pearson vs Stevie Ray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ross Pearson

Ross Pearson

“The Real Deal”

20-17-0LightweightMTK

1572Solid
Stevie Ray

Stevie Ray

“Braveheart”

26-13-0WelterweightPFL

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

20-17-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Central Coast MMATeamHigher Level MMA

What's at stake

Stevie Ray is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ross PearsonNow 1572
If they win+14→ 1586
If they lose-10→ 1562
Stevie RayNow 1644
If they win+13→ 1657
If they lose-19→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.68
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
62%
Strike defense
55%
0.74
Takedown avg.
0.75
36%
Takedown accuracy
46%
75%
Takedown defense
56%
0
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Ross PearsonStevie Ray
160016502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
6 (23%)
5 (25%)
Submission
10 (38%)
8 (40%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Stevie Ray78%
Ross Pearson 22%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Stevie Ray a 78% favorite over Ross Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Stevie Ray holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1572, a 72-point edge.

Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Stevie Ray enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ross Pearson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Ray 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.