Ross Pearson vs Stevie Ray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-17-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Central Coast MMATeamHigher Level MMA
What's at stake
Stevie Ray is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1589
If they lose-10→ 1565
If they win+13→ 1647
If they lose-19→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ross PearsonStevie Ray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stevie Ray62%
Ross Pearson 38%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Stevie Ray a 62% favorite over Ross Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Stevie Ray holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1575, a 59-point edge.
Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Stevie Ray enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ross Pearson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Ray 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.