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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ross Pearson vs Welisson Paiva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ross Pearson
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Ross Pearson

“The Real Deal”

20-17-0LightweightMTK

1573Solid

Tale of the tape

20-17-0Record12-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Central Coast MMATeamMaster Kombat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ross PearsonNow 1573
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561
Welisson PaivaNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.68
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
40%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
62%
Strike defense
Not available
0.74
Takedown avg.
Not available
36%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
75%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ross PearsonWelisson Paiva
16002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
5 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (40%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ross Pearson55%
Welisson Paiva 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ross Pearson a 55% favorite over Welisson Paiva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1573), separated by just 0 points.

Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Welisson Paiva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ross Pearson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Welisson Paiva 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.