Combat Edge Intelligence

Ross Pearson vs Will Brooks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ross Pearson
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Ross Pearson

“The Real Deal”

20-17-0LightweightMTK

1572Solid

Tale of the tape

20-17-0Record26-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
69,0"Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Central Coast MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Will Brooks is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ross PearsonNow 1572
If they win+18→ 1590
If they lose-6→ 1566
Will BrooksNow 1767
If they win+6→ 1773
If they lose-18→ 1749

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.68
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
40%
Strike accuracy
59%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
62%
Strike defense
56%
0.74
Takedown avg.
2.08
36%
Takedown accuracy
52%
75%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Ross PearsonWill Brooks
16001650170017502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
7 (27%)
5 (25%)
Submission
6 (23%)
8 (40%)
Decision
13 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Will Brooks84%
Ross Pearson 16%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Will Brooks a 84% favorite over Ross Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Will Brooks holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1572, a 195-point edge.

Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Will Brooks enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ross Pearson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Will Brooks 50%.

Will Brooks carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.