Rousimar Palhares vs Rustam Serbiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-13-1Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach69"
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rousimar PalharesRustam Serbiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Serbiev59%
Rousimar Palhares 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Serbiev a 59% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1546), separated by just 1 points.
Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Rousimar Palhares finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.