Rousimar Palhares vs Tomasz Drwal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-13-1Record22-6-1
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamSzkola Walki Drwala
What's at stake
Tomasz Drwal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rousimar Palhares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1558
If they lose-10→ 1534
If they win+10→ 1625
If they lose-14→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rousimar PalharesTomasz Drwal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tomasz Drwal70%
Rousimar Palhares 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Tomasz Drwal a 70% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Tomasz Drwal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1544, a 71-point edge.
Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Rousimar Palhares finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Tomasz Drwal 86%.
Rousimar Palhares and Tomasz Drwal share 1 common opponent: Michał Materla.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
Loss Punch · 2016
Loss Punches · 2015