Combat Edge Intelligence

Roxanne Modafferi vs Taila Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-20-0Record23-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamTeam Taila Santos

What's at stake

Taila Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Roxanne Modafferi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Roxanne ModafferiNow 1559
If they win+18→ 1577
If they lose-6→ 1553
Taila SantosNow 1749
If they win+6→ 1755
If they lose-18→ 1731

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.39
31%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
51%
Strike defense
58%
1.35
Takedown avg.
2
23%
Takedown accuracy
76%
30%
Takedown defense
86%
0.08
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

Roxanne ModafferiTaila Santos
155016001650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (16%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
5 (20%)
Submission
4 (17%)
16 (64%)
Decision
8 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Taila Santos92%
Roxanne Modafferi 8%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Taila Santos a 92% favorite over Roxanne Modafferi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Taila Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1559, a 190-point edge.

Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Roxanne Modafferi finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Taila Santos 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.