Combat Edge Intelligence

Roxanne Modafferi vs Victoria Leonardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-20-0Record10-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamElite Combat Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roxanne ModafferiNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
Victoria LeonardoNow 1559
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
31%
Strike accuracy
39%
5.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
51%
Strike defense
47%
1.35
Takedown avg.
1.57
23%
Takedown accuracy
28%
30%
Takedown defense
71%
0.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Roxanne ModafferiVictoria Leonardo
15501600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (16%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
5 (20%)
Submission
5 (50%)
16 (64%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Victoria Leonardo64%
Roxanne Modafferi 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victoria Leonardo a 64% favorite over Roxanne Modafferi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roxanne Modafferi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1559), separated by just 0 points.

Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Roxanne Modafferi finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Leonardo 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.