Combat Edge Intelligence

Roy Nelson vs Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roy Nelson
us

Roy Nelson

“Big Country”

24-20-0HeavyweightBFC

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

24-20-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"HeightTBD
72,0"Reach-
249 lbsWeight258 lbs
Country ClubTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roy NelsonNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Seyedmostafa SalehizadehNow 1631
If they win+24→ 1655
If they lose-24→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
1.14
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
66%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Roy NelsonSeyedmostafa Salehizadeh
1550160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
4 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (17%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh63%
Roy Nelson 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh a 63% favorite over Roy Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roy Nelson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Roy Nelson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Roy Nelson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.