Ruan Potts vs Soa Palelei
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
251 lbsWeight265 lbs
Mark Robinson MMATeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Soa Palelei is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Ruan Potts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1597
If they lose-9→ 1565
If they win+7→ 1743
If they lose-17→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ruan PottsSoa Palelei
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Soa Palelei78%
Ruan Potts 22%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Soa Palelei a 78% favorite over Ruan Potts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Soa Palelei holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1574, a 162-point edge.
Ruan Potts finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Soa Palelei 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.