Combat Edge Intelligence

Rudyard Moncayo vs Sam Fournier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-3-0Record2-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team

What's at stake

Sam Fournier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Rudyard Moncayo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rudyard MoncayoNow 1427
If they win+26→ 1453
If they lose-22→ 1405
Sam FournierNow 1460
If they win+22→ 1482
If they lose-26→ 1434

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Rudyard MoncayoSam Fournier
1450150015501996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Sam Fournier59%
Rudyard Moncayo 41%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Sam Fournier a 59% favorite over Rudyard Moncayo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Sam Fournier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1460 to 1427, a 33-point edge.

Rudyard Moncayo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Sam Fournier enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.