Combat Edge Intelligence

Ruslan Abiltarov vs Sebastian Polanco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-14-1Record3-3-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'9"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Predator TeamTeamDemon Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ruslan AbiltarovNow 1503
If they win+12→ 1515
If they lose-12→ 1491
Sebastian PolancoNow 1502
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Ruslan AbiltarovSebastian Polanco
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
12 (48%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (32%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Abiltarov52%
Sebastian Polanco 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Abiltarov a 52% favorite over Sebastian Polanco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1502), separated by just 1 points.

Ruslan Abiltarov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Sebastian Polanco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ruslan Abiltarov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Polanco 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.