Ruslan Gabaraev vs Tom Lawlor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record11-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TeamThe Jungle MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ruslan GabaraevTom Lawlor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ruslan Gabaraev60%
Tom Lawlor 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Gabaraev a 60% favorite over Tom Lawlor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1583), separated by just 0 points.
Ruslan Gabaraev finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Tom Lawlor 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.