Combat Edge Intelligence

Ruslan Gabaraev vs Victor Valimaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record18-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight233 lbs
TeamComplete Fitness and Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ruslan GabaraevNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Victor ValimakiNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.90
TBD
Takedown accuracy
14%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ruslan GabaraevVictor Valimaki
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (33%)
5 (71%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Gabaraev62%
Victor Valimaki 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Gabaraev a 62% favorite over Victor Valimaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victor Valimaki's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1585), separated by just 2 points.

Victor Valimaki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ruslan Gabaraev finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valimaki 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.