Ruslan Magomedov vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record24-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
78,0"Reach79"
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
If they win+12→ 1708
If they lose-12→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ruslan MagomedovRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Spann71%
Ruslan Magomedov 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Spann a 71% favorite over Ruslan Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ruslan Magomedov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1696), separated by just 1 points.
Ruslan Magomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ruslan Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.