Combat Edge Intelligence

Ruslan Magomedov vs Shawn Jordan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shawn Jordan
us

Shawn Jordan

“The Savage”

19-9-0HeavyweightPFL

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record19-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
78,0"ReachTBD
249 lbsWeight265 lbs
Fight Club BerkutTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Ruslan Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Shawn Jordan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ruslan MagomedovNow 1697
If they win+13→ 1710
If they lose-19→ 1678
Shawn JordanNow 1640
If they win+19→ 1659
If they lose-13→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.02
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
48%
Strike accuracy
51%
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
66%
Strike defense
47%
0.33
Takedown avg.
1.97
100%
Takedown accuracy
38%
89%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Ruslan MagomedovShawn Jordan
165017001750201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
15 (79%)
2 (13%)
Submission
3 (16%)
9 (60%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Magomedov72%
Shawn Jordan 28%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Magomedov a 72% favorite over Shawn Jordan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Ruslan Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1640, a 57-point edge.

Ruslan Magomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shawn Jordan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ruslan Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Shawn Jordan 95%.

Ruslan Magomedov and Shawn Jordan share 1 common opponent: Josh Copeland.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2014
Josh Copeland
Loss Decision · 2018