Combat Edge Intelligence

Ruslan Magomedov vs Viktor Pesta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record19-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78,0"ReachTBD
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Ruslan Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Viktor Pesta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ruslan MagomedovNow 1697
If they win+13→ 1710
If they lose-19→ 1678
Viktor PestaNow 1633
If they win+14→ 1647
If they lose-10→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.02
Sig. strikes / min
1.58
48%
Strike accuracy
36%
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
66%
Strike defense
57%
0.33
Takedown avg.
3.29
100%
Takedown accuracy
29%
89%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ruslan MagomedovViktor Pesta
1650170017502020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
2 (13%)
Submission
7 (37%)
9 (60%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Magomedov61%
Viktor Pesta 39%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Magomedov a 61% favorite over Viktor Pesta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Ruslan Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1633, a 64-point edge.

Ruslan Magomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ruslan Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Viktor Pesta 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.