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Combat Edge Intelligence

Rustam Asuev vs Willamy Freire

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record26-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamDragon Fight

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rustam AsuevNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Willamy FreireNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.53
Not available
Strike accuracy
37%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.93
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.50
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
74%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rustam AsuevWillamy Freire
1600165020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
8 (32%)
1 (10%)
Submission
10 (40%)
7 (70%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Asuev53%
Willamy Freire 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Asuev a 53% favorite over Willamy Freire in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.

Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rustam Asuev finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Willamy Freire 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.