Combat Edge Intelligence

Rustam Khabilov vs Sergey Khandozhko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-4-0Record27-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
40,5"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamIndustrials

What's at stake

Rustam Khabilov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Sergey Khandozhko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rustam KhabilovNow 1788
If they win+9→ 1797
If they lose-15→ 1773
Sergey KhandozhkoNow 1694
If they win+15→ 1709
If they lose-9→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1706 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.98
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
34%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.37
66%
Strike defense
61%
3.95
Takedown avg.
0.76
42%
Takedown accuracy
29%
61%
Takedown defense
61%
0.09
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rustam KhabilovSergey Khandozhko
170017501800201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
11 (42%)
5 (21%)
Submission
7 (27%)
15 (63%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Khabilov59%
Sergey Khandozhko 41%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Khabilov a 59% favorite over Sergey Khandozhko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Rustam Khabilov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1694, a 94-point edge.

Rustam Khabilov finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Khandozhko 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.